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สุริยุปราคาเต็มดวง 13-14 พฤศจิกายน

November 06, 2012
Total Solar Eclipse Nov. 13th - Will Earthquakes Follow?
สุริยุปราคาเต็มดวง 13 พฤศจิกายน - จะมีแผ่นดินไหวตามมา?

by Mitch Battros - Earth Changes Media

A total solar eclipse will take place on 13-14 November 2012 (UTC), beginning locally on November 13 west of the International Date Line over northern Australia, and ending on November 14 east of the date line off the western South American coast. Its greatest magnitude is 1.0500, occurring only 12 hours before perigee, with greatest eclipse totality lasting just over 4 minutes.



A solar eclipse occurs when the Moon passes between Earth and the Sun, thereby totally or partially obscuring the image of the Sun for a viewer on Earth. A total solar eclipse occurs when the Moon's apparent diameter is larger than the Sun, blocking all direct Sunlight, turning day into darkness. Totality occurs in a narrow path across the surface of the Earth, while a partial solar eclipse will be visible over a region thousands of kilometers wide.


Solar Eclipse Animated Rotation - CLICK HERE

For this eclipse totality will be visible from northern Australia and the southern Pacific Ocean. The most populous city to experience totality will be Cairns, which will experience 2 minutes of totality just an hour after daybreak (06:38 AEST, 20:38 UTC) with the Sun at an altitude of just 14°. Norfolk Island, a small pacific island east of Australia, will experience a partial eclipse with a maximum of 98% of the Sun obscured at 09:37 NFT and an altitude of 42°.

Parts of northern New Zealand will experience a partial eclipse. Auckland will have 87.0% of the Sun obscured, whereas Wellington, Christchurch and Dunedin will respectively have 76.4%, 68.9% and 61.5% of the Sun obscured. Maximum eclipse over New Zealand will occur around 10:30 NZDT (21:30 UTC), with Auckland at 10:28, Wellington at 10:34, Christchurch at 10:35 and Dunedin at 10:36.


Parts of central Chile, specifically the Los Ríos and Los Lagos regions from Valdivia (63% obscured) south to Quellón (54% obscured) will see a partial eclipse with over half the Sun obscured at sunset, over the coast. Points north up to about Santiago will see the eclipse begin as the Sun is setting.

When seen from west of the International Date Line the eclipse will take place on the morning of November 14. Greatest eclipse, of duration 4 min 2 sec, will occur east of the International Date Line on November 13, approximately 2000 km east of New Zealand, and 9600 km west of Chile.

In February of 2008, Earth Changes Media made headlines providing evidence of a connection between a Solar and Lunar Eclipse and catastrophic events. We displayed well documented evidence showing large earth changing events did occur within a 14 day window prior to, and 14 days immediately following an Eclipse.

Will a similar scenario occur as the result of the coming full solar eclipse? Let's take a look at history and the scientific evidence of "cycles". Below I will list the dates of 'full lunar eclipse' from 2001 to 2011.



Although earthquakes are certainly at the top of all emergency managements list, volcanoes are not far behind. I am most concerned with recent volcanic events in Northern and Central America which may be progress to full eruptions.

___________________


- 2001 Dec 14: Annular Solar Eclipse -

January 25 2001 - (India) A magnitude 7.6 earthquake shook the Indian Province of Gujarat. It was one of the two most deadly earthquakes to strike India in its recorded history. The death toll was 19,727, number of injured at 166,000, over 600,000 people were left homeless, with 348,000 houses destroyed and an additional 844,000 damaged.

- 2003 May 31: Annular Solar Eclipse -

May 2 2003 - (Turkey) At least 176 people have died and 521 people were injured after a magnitude 6.4 earthquake that shook the eastern Turkey's Bingol province. Several public buildings collapsed in the centre of Bingol city and its vicinity. The last official report concerning the consequences of the earthquake in the city indicates about 570 buildings were collapsed and about 6000 others were damaged.

May 21 2003 - (Algiers) A strong earthquake measuring 6.8 magnitude struck the coastal region east of Algiers and the Tell Atlas mountains of Algeria. 2,251 people died, another 1,200 missing, 10,243 were injured and 200,000 made homeless.

May 26 2003 - (Japan) A 7.0 magnitude earthquake hit northern Japan, however, there were no casualties and very few people were injured due to the depth (about 44 miles underground) of the epicenter of the earthquake.

- 2003 Nov 23: Total Solar Eclipse -

Nov 17 2003 - (Alaska) A 7.8 earthquake hits Aleutian Islands, Alaska; tsunami warning issued.

- 2004 Apr 19: Partial Solar Eclipse -

April 2004 - (United States) Yellowstone Super Volcano experienced over 400 quakes within three days. This type of increase in earthquake activity is called a "swarm". Parts of the caldera were closed to the public with areas of surface temperatures reaching over 200 degrees Fahrenheit. Some reports were telling of the sole of on-lookers shoes were melting just prior to the area's closing.

- 2004 Oct 14: Partial Solar Eclipse -

October 23 2004 - (Japan) A series of powerful earthquakes the strongest with a magnitude of 6.7 jolted northern Japan, killing at least 30 people and injuring more than 2000 people largely as the result of building collapse. The strongest earthquakes occurred during a period of several hours with the main epicenter located near Yamakoshi village, Niigata Prefecture. Thousands of landslides were triggered by the earthquakes and aftershocks with much associated damage to roads, agricultural fields, and residential.

- 2007 Mar 19 Partial Solar Eclipse -

March 3 2007 - (Sumatra) Two strong earthquakes shook the west coast of the Indonesian island of Sumatra on Tuesday, killing at least 70 people, 460 serious injuries have been reported, spread across many towns and regencies in West Sumatra. Over 43,000 houses were damaged, with over 12,000 of those severely damaged.

- 2007 Sept 11 Partial Solar Eclipse -

August 15 2007 - (Peru) Large 8.0 earthquake hits Peru. Over 514 died, with 1,090 injured, and around 40,035 families rendered homeless. A further 30,542 families have been affected.

Sept 12, 2007 - (Sumatra) - A series of megathrust earthquakes struck the Java Trench off the coast of Sumatra, Indonesia, three greater than magnitude 7.0. The most powerful of the series had a magnitude of 8.5 killing at least 25. This event makes it in the top 20 of the largest earthquakes ever recorded.

- 2008 Feb 07 Annular Solar Eclipse -

Feb 12th 2008 - (United States) A "swarm" of over 100 earthquakes hit Baja California, Mexico. Swarms also began off the Oregon Coast, Northern Calif., and Alaska. They are still occurring with no sign of letting up.

- 2009 Jan 26 Annular Solar Eclipse -

December 27th 2008 - Montserrat Volcano Hurls Lava, Rocks, Ash - A volcano on the tiny Caribbean island of Montserrat has resumed its rumbling and hurled rocks and lava toward the abandoned capital. The observatory said Friday that the Soufriere Hills volcano spewed ash 10,000 feet (3,048 meters) into the air on Christmas Eve.

January 14th 2009 (United States) Swarm of Earthquake Activity Over For Now at Yellowstone National Park. This sequence of more than 500 seismic events was most intense on December 27, 2008. The sequence included sixteen events of magnitude 3 to 3.9 and approximately 70 of magnitude 2 to 3 (as of Sunday afternoon, Jan. 4, 2009).

February 10th 2009 - (United States) Earthquake 'Swarm' Hits North of San Francisco - Just north of San Francisco, an area called 'The Geysers' which is not unfamiliar to earthquake swarms. However, a recent escalation in magnitude has invited a heightened concern. A 3.7 magnitude quake occurred on Feb. 20th which is a triggering signal for seismologist to take note and monitor more closely.

**This article is not about scaring you, it is about encouraging preparedness. No need to panic, but perhaps a need to take an inventory on your general preparedness list. Those who have a general 7 day preparedness kit, not only are better off physically, but emotionally as well. Just knowing you have basic equipment and protocol, eases the mind and reduces the potential for panic.

Earth Changes Media has made available a 'free' link with a complete list of preparedness items and protocol for all types of events. Just click on the link below.

 

Solar flares today
Today, 1 solar flare was observed:

Active region Begin, UT Max, UT End, UT
Flare of class M1.7 0 02:08:00 02:23:00 02:55:00

[ame="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RUQ2bWJHC28"]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RUQ2bWJHC28[/ame]

 

SOLAR WIND: A medium-speed (500 km/s) solar wind stream is gently buffeting Earth's magnetic field. Polar sky watchers should be alert for Northern Lights tonight. Aurora alerts: text, voice.

 

OBAMA VISITS THE EDGE OF SPACE: After winning re-election yesterday, President Obama is on top of the world. Seriously. A group of high school students in Bishop, California, has launched a Barack Obama bobblehead to the edge of space using a suborbital helium balloon. Here is a picture of the president on Nov. 5th approximately 120,000 feet above Earth's surface:



This flight was conducted by the same students who earlier this year launched NASA's rubber chicken into a solar storm to sample high protons from the sun. "Sending Obama into the stratosphere was just for fun," says team member Amelia Phillips. "But it was good practice for more serious projects, such as our flights to measure solar flares and photograph meteor showers." The group, which calls itself "Earth to Sky Calculus," has been flying suborbital helium research balloons for two years; this is the first time the President has gone for a ride.

 

Total Eclipse of the Sun



Nov. 8, 2012: People from around the world are converging on the coast of northeast Australia. The attraction isn't the Great Barrier Reef, just offshore, or the surrounding rain forests full of wildlife and exotic plants. They're going to see a total eclipse of the sun.

On the morning of Nov. 14th (Australia time), about an hour after sunrise, the Moon will pass directly in front of the sun. Residents and visitors of the city of Cairns, also known as the Gateway to the Great Barrier Reef, will enjoy an early morning eclipse lasting 2 minutes with the sun only 14 degrees above the eastern horizon.

Solar eclipses aren't only pretty, they're also scientifically valuable. A new ScienceCast video explains how. Play it
NASA eclipse expert Fred Espenak has a rating scheme for natural wonders. "On a scale of 1 to 10," he says, "total eclipses are a million." Even the reef itself will be momentarily forgotten by onlookers as the Moon's cool shadow sweeps across the beach and the ghostly tendrils of the solar corona surround the black lunar disk.

But there's more to this event than tourism. Scientists are attending, too. For researchers, the brief minutes of totality offer a window into one of the deepest mysteries of solar physics: The mystery of coronal heating.

In plain language, they'd like to know why the sun's outer atmosphere or "corona" is so hot. The surface temperature of the sun is only 6000 degrees C. Yet the corona above it is much warmer, a million degrees Celsius or even more.

To understand the physics involved, astronomers have developed instruments called coronagraphs, which block the glare of the sun to reveal the faint corona. Three spacecraft, SOHO and the twin STEREO probes, currently monitor the solar corona using these devices. But no manmade instrument can match Earth’s natural satellite. The Moon is nature's greatest coronagraph.

During an eclipse, "the moon reveals the innermost corona, which manmade coronagraphs have trouble seeing,” explains Shadia Habbal of the Institute for Astronomy in Hawaii. “That is where all the magnetic field and physical processes responsible for heating the corona are evolving most rapidly."

On Nov. 13/14, 2012, the path of totality crosses the northeast coast of Australia. Click on the image for viewing times and a map of the entire eclipse path. More
On Nov. 12th, Habbal will be in Palm Cove, Australia, to deliver a keynote speech at a solar physics conference sponsored in part by NASA's Living with a Star Program. The title of her talk is "The unique scientific advantages of total solar eclipse observations." Two days later, Habbal and her colleagues will be inside the path of totality, monitoring the eclipse with a variety of telescopes and spectrometers at 6 different wavelengths from 2 different sites.

Astronomy professor Jay Pasachoff, chair of the International Astronomical Union's Working Group on Eclipses will be there, too. He has observed an astounding 55 solar eclipses. "The Australia eclipse will be my 56th," he notes.
Over the years, Pasachoff and colleagues have developed techniques to photograph the corona with a clarity and resolution that coronagraphs on current spacecraft cannot match. Using these techniques, "we are learning how the wonderfully-detailed structures we see in the corona are shaped by the sun's magnetic field," he explains. The shapes vary in a regular way during the sun's 11-year sunspot cycle. “We can use this information to improve predictions of the next solar cycle."

That's a lot of science in two minutes of shadowy darkness.

After totality is over, the moon's shadow will sweep out across the South Pacific Ocean, tracing a line thousands of miles long across uninhabited waters, reaching almost, but not quite, the coast of South America. Back on the beach, scientists will be taking a first look at their data while tourists starting thinking about breakfast--and snorkeling in the reef. For all concerned, it's a great way to begin the day.

For more information about the eclipse, visit NASA's Solar Eclipse Home Page.

Author: Dr. Tony Phillips| Production editor: Dr. Tony Phillips | Credit: Science@NASA

 

วัน-เวลา *ประเทศไทย ขนาด Lat. Long. ลึก(km.) Phase บริเวณที่เกิด
2012-11-10 10:18:46
2012-11-10 03:18:46 UTC 3.2 20.52 98.00 - 10 ประเทศพม่า

 

วัน-เวลา *ประเทศไทย ขนาด Lat. Long. ลึก(km.) Phase บริเวณที่เกิด

2012-11-10 03:18:46 UTC 3.2 20.52 98.00 - 10 ประเทศพม่า

 

FARSIDE EXPLOSION: As solar activity picks up on the Earthside of the sun (see "Broken Quiet" below), the farside of the sun is coming alive, too. During the early hours of Nov. 9th, a magnetic filament located behind the sun's southeastern limb erupted, hurling a bright coronal mass ejection (CME) into space:



This explosion was not geoeffective, but future explosions might be. The blast site, still potent, is just days away from rotating onto the Earthside of the sun. You can monitor its progress using NASA's 3D Sun app for smartphones, which makes it easy to view and explore the farside of the sun.

 

Daily Sun: 09 Nov 12



New sunspot 1611 poses a threat for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspots and active regions
The following regions with sunspots can be now observed on the Sun's surface


Group number Sunspots Location on the Sun The number of spots in the group The classification by the Zurich's modified system Area (millions of shares of the solar hemisphere) Group length (in degrees) Carrington Longitude (in degrees) Group's magnet type

№ 1608 S21 E10 02 Hrx 0010 01 282 Alpha

№ 1609 S15 E32 02 Cro 0010 06 260 Beta

№ 1610 S23 E32 02 Dai 0020 05 260 Beta

№ 1611 N13 E52 08 Eso 0270 10 240 Beta-Gamma

№ 1612 N07 E59 01 Hsx 0100 02 233 Alpha
Coordinates and other characteristics of active regions are issued for November 10, 2012 00:31 UT

 

November 09, 2012
Uptick in Earthquake Activity also in Solar Activity

by Mitch Battros - Earth Changes Media

Solar activity took a jump over the last 48 hours producing a least one M-class flare and a following CME. The event occurred on Nov. 8th from sunspot region 1611 as it's coming around the eastern limb of the Sun.

A CME was observed in association with this event, it showed to have a significant release, however, due to its position no geomagnetic should be set off from it outward blast. There was a brief period of active geomagnetic conditions late on Nov. 7th at planetary level, from 18 to 21 UT, but the cause of this activity is not clear at the moment.



Two Flares and Three CME's - CLICK HERE


Earthquakes Con't at Queen Charlotte,
Cascadia Subduction, Oregon Coast Regions

Watch Queen Charlotte Islands, Vancouver Island, and Oregon Coast. This could be an idication the 7.7 mag. quake which occured on Oct. 28th may have jolted the Queen Charlotte fault which connects to the Cascadia Subduction Zone. Also, watch activity along the Oregon Coast which sits towards the southern end of Cascadia.






List of Area Quakes - CLICK HERE

MAG UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s LAT
deg LON
deg DEPTH
km Region
MAP 4.1 2012/11/10 06:27:18 49.420 -128.264 10.1 VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGION
MAP 4.5 2012/11/08 21:07:41 49.316 -128.280 10.0 VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGION
MAP 2.8 2012/11/08 09:58:28 45.026 -124.151 38.2 OFFSHORE OREGON
MAP 6.3 2012/11/08 02:01:51 49.185 -128.528 16.6 VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGION
MAP 4.1 2012/11/07 15:04:23 52.649 -133.085 10.0 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAP 4.0 2012/11/06 15:47:13 52.717 -133.062 10.0 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAP 4.6 2012/11/06 10:27:03 52.334 -131.305 10.2 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAP 4.6 2012/11/04 18:27:19 52.522 -132.346 20.3 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAP 4.9 2012/11/04 12:27:36 52.339 -132.031 10.4 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAP 4.1 2012/11/04 07:42:15 52.741 -131.859 10.0 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAP 4.0 2012/11/04 05:07:53 52.617 -131.957 10.0 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAP 2.9 2012/11/03 23:54:43 45.025 -124.151 39.7 OFFSHORE OREGON
MAP 4.2 2012/11/03 17:49:14 52.535 -132.007 22.4 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAP 4.0 2012/11/03 12:18:42 52.380 -132.751 9.8 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAP 4.0 2012/11/03 09:48:24 52.611 -132.378 10.1 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION

Notice these three events occurred with in the window of 14 days prior to a solar eclipse event. Watch for extreme weather events which include earthquake, volcano, and hurricane type storms over the next 5 days.

 

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